Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 97870.780693 103151.403760 108427.002794 114089.558621 119991.824942 125959.010055 132444.221818
2025-09-21 88839.413965 96897.291407 105168.686464 114283.245856 124034.212868 134142.428983 145402.219922
2025-09-28 82362.838134 92309.876799 102741.211732 114474.281412 127281.675057 140815.112808 156174.472729
2025-10-05 78506.318768 89993.013714 102253.343632 116277.166210 131836.959141 148534.330315 167769.309266
2025-10-12 75210.548854 87936.152757 101729.776190 117738.959758 135753.104059 155341.091651 178194.170695
2025-10-19 72009.912153 85722.370480 100794.867084 118519.540987 138716.858591 160938.453969 187157.265502
2025-10-26 68841.122545 83335.228329 99475.004749 118686.248412 140832.205154 165460.786815 194818.086546
2025-11-02 66211.312607 81410.501484 98540.242413 119159.042278 143181.137599 170159.379111 202617.666539
2025-11-09 63566.482538 79330.439327 97301.376658 119163.068090 144889.398200 174048.800997 209437.490147
2025-11-16 61839.343516 78241.021372 97136.909467 120347.709828 147911.831952 179416.324732 217952.610643
2025-11-23 59553.415740 76380.986741 95970.540527 120264.232180 149373.511922 182916.668484 224261.651297
2025-11-30 58333.222328 75748.877504 96215.823352 121817.787689 152742.909754 188640.585691 233191.648998
2025-12-07 56858.943332 74768.531803 96018.518962 122832.460462 155484.793251 193666.421379 241376.770703
2025-12-14 55029.570805 73284.334538 95153.173688 122989.347301 157160.956086 197411.174184 248047.552178
2025-12-21 53332.798186 71902.940097 94357.863485 123181.288150 158840.315194 201136.716300 254692.159885
2025-12-28 52586.320064 71685.310815 94973.832190 125092.993121 162613.689675 207395.335015 264423.354239
2026-01-04 51718.617205 71275.159734 95318.634528 126644.203381 165932.290295 213107.589970 273519.087668
2026-01-11 50565.284877 70454.914667 95110.951776 127472.616291 168334.844497 217696.405118 281257.858603
2026-01-18 49176.418980 69282.927434 94416.212190 127649.530041 169896.443675 221237.900171 287713.308333
2026-01-25 48003.543903 68355.696408 94000.387792 128151.328093 171845.286229 225249.565362 294757.892340
2026-02-01 46670.762841 67176.009137 93222.319177 128155.599438 173139.140117 228433.572294 300776.677079
2026-02-08 45936.925566 66770.537459 93428.282468 129412.835716 176020.520056 233606.294172 309299.976257
2026-02-15 44673.542869 65615.251328 92620.576256 129324.246854 177156.631364 236576.375800 315065.492600